Fortune Fencing Non-Regional Y8

Y-8 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center, Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
2 KOU Cynthia 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1% < 1%
3 HE Elsa 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
3 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
5 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
6 FLI Mirabelle 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% < 1% -
7 JIANG Ziqi 100% 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 2%
8 CHONG Emma 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
9 JOE Everly 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% - -
10 SUN Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
11 YANG Nina 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
12 KWAK Olivia 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
13 YU Elise 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
14 SHEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
15 LIU Kristy 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
16 GROTH Lillian 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2%
17 WONG Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
18 JIA Vivian 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 7% -
19 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
20 DAI Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
21 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.