Fortune Fencing Non-Regional Y8

Y-8 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center, Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WONG Kyle 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 4%
2 WANG Mason 100% 82% 38% 7% - < 1%
3 ENG Kaden 100% 100% 89% 53% 15% 2%
3 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 98% 88% 51% 6%
5 LI Stephen 100% 99% 91% 56% 8% < 1%
6 NIU Alexandre 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% -
7 KIM Benjamin 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
8 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
9 REN Mark 100% 87% 47% 11% 1%
10 YOO Lucas 100% 81% 38% 8% < 1% -
11 MAZAHERI John 100% 90% 51% 13% 1% -
11 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 15%
13 LINDBERG Everett 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
14 SI Alexander 100% 91% 54% 14% 1% -
15 LI Vance 100% 56% 11% 1% -
16 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
17 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
18 LIU Yihong 100% 25% 2% < 1% - -
19 SHENG Ben 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
20 HAO Hardy 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
21 YI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
22 YANG Rony 100% 43% 7% - - -
23 DOROSHENKO Konstantin Michael 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
24 HONG Eason 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
25 ZHANG William 100% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
26 TU William 100% 100% 94% 61% 8%
27 ZHU Stephen 100% 98% 67% 21% 2%
28 BAEK Joel 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
29 SHARMA Mihir 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
30 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
30 CHEN Jackie 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
32 YANG Xinrui 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
33 NG Miles 100% 99% 89% 52% 13% 1%
34 WO Aaron 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3%
35 CHEN Richey 100% 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.