Spring Fling 2023

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAW Seth - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
2 PAL Ian - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
3 LIU Kevin - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
3 KREISER Alexander 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
5 SHAFRITZ Noah - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 17%
6 FAN Yuchen - 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
7 HONG Robin 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
8 CHUNG Joseph - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
9 ARZT Nicholas 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
10 JOO Jeremy 3% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
11 ILENRE Roni - 3% 16% 34% 33% 14% 2%
12 LY Gabriel - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
13 MCBRIDE Caleb - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
14 LIU Nick 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
15 MCMULLEN Benjamin - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 LU Chang 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
17 PAK Joel - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
18 MINOR David 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
19 ALVARENGA Darby 63% 31% 5% - - - -
20 SANTALESA Richard 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
21 MAI Ryan 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.