Spring Fling 2023

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAW Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
2 PAL Ian 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
3 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
3 KREISER Alexander 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
5 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
6 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
7 HONG Robin 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
8 CHUNG Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
9 ARZT Nicholas 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
10 JOO Jeremy 100% 97% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
11 ILENRE Roni 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
12 LY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
13 MCBRIDE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
14 LIU Nick 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
15 MCMULLEN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 LU Chang 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
17 PAK Joel 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
18 MINOR David 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
19 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 37% 6% - - - -
20 SANTALESA Richard 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
21 MAI Ryan 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.