Goldfinch ROC D1A, Vet, RJCC and chair fencing

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex At Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 KANDADAI Lara 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
3 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 98% 87% 63% 30% 7%
3 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
5 REN Xinling 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
6 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
7 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 9% 1%
8 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
9 WANG yining 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
10 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
11 BARROSO Isabela 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% < 1%
12 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
13 CRAINE Alexandra E. 100% 99% 92% 71% 40% 14% 2%
14 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
15 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
16 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
17 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5%
18 MYAT Chloe 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
19 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5%
20 FREEMAN Armine 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
21 TREACY Aisling 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
22 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
23 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
24 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
25 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
26 NAYAK Anika 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
27 HU Anna 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
28 DAVIS Jordan 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
29 ONG Lauren 100% 84% 25% 3% - -
30 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
31 CHOU Amy R. 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
32 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
33 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
34 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 94% 71% 39% 13% 3% -
35 NEUMAN Ella 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1%
36 CHOU Zoe 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
37 CHAMPAGNE Valentine 100% 30% 2% - - -
38 JUDICKE Sophia 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
39 MORGAN Lily 100% 35% 5% - - - -
40 NAYAK Antara 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.