The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Goldfinch ROC D1A, Vet, RJCC and chair fencing

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex At Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
3 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
5 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
7 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
8 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
9 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
10 DALAL Rohan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
11 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
12 SAHAY Kenji 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
13 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
14 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
15 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
16 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
17 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
17 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
19 CHEN Howard 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
20 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
21 CHENG Hong 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
22 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 4%
23 LUCAS Hayden 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
24 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
25 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
26 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
27 STONE Christopher A. 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
28 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 8% 1%
29 MATTOO Surya 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
29 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 93% 56% 19% 3% - -
31 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
32 STAMIS Kyle 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
33 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
34 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
35 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
36 NARANJO David E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
36 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
38 DEKA Tanush 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
39 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
40 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
41 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% -
42 LIGUORI Michael 100% 89% 43% 10% 1% - -
43 ZHENG LEON 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
44 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
45 XU Justin 100% 66% 14% 1% - - -
46 GILPIN Samuel 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
47 KIM Theodore 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
48 MANESCU Miron 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
49 CHUNG Connor 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
50 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
51 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
52 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
53 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -
54 TANG Shu Hon 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
55 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
56 GAYEVSKY Maximilian 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
57 ZHAO Andy 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
58 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
59 BHATIA Ekam 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
60 ARORA Pranav 100% 38% 5% - - - -
60 RAGAN STEINSSON Sigurdur 100% 55% 9% 1% - - -
62 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.