Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 1%
2 FU Shannon 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
3 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
3 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
5 SUN Milly 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
6 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
7 CHOI Arianna 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
8 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
9 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% < 1%
10 HE Anna 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 7%
11 LI Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
12 NGUYEN Renee 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
13 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
14 LI Wan-Tao 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
15 DU Chloe 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
16 KOU Cynthia 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
17 CHEN Stephanie 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% < 1% -
18 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
19 MAENG Gloria 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
20 WANG Yvonne 100% 91% 57% 19% 2% -
21 WANG Nicole 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
22 BURKS Madison 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
23 SAPLAN Eleanor 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
24 LI Carlie 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
25 YOUSSEF Margaret 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
26 WU Aineo 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
27 REN Ivanka 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
28 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
29 DAI Mina (Chenxi) 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
30 VOO Evelyn 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
31 YU Xintong 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
32 YIP Allison 100% 99% 77% 31% 5% -
33 MIAO Anthea 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
34 HE Elsa 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% -
35 LI Allison 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
36 DU Chelsea 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
37 YU Chloe 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
38 YANG Emma 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
39 CHO Anya 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
40 LEE Anika 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1%
41 KWAK Olivia 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
42 SCHWARTZMAN Avital 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
43 JOE Everly 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
44 CHONG Emma 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.