Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
3 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
5 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
6 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
7 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
8 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 4%
9 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
10 IYER Neil 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
11 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
12 KIM seoha 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
13 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
14 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
15 CHAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
16 XIAO haoyu 100% 99% 91% 54% 15% 1% -
17 LI linze 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 35%
17 CAO Donald 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
19 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 33%
20 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
21 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
22 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
23 BURRES kenneth 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
24 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
25 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
26 CHI Everett 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
27 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
28 RONG Jasper 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
29 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
30 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
31 WANG Edward 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
32 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
33 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
34 WINTERSET Mason 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
35 MA Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
36 MINASIAN Mason 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
37 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 2%
38 CHEN Cooper 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
39 HO Alden 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
40 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
41 CHUNG Vincenzo 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
42 BURRES stuart 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
43 YPHANTIDES Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
44 LI Ryan 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
45 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 9%
46 LIU Daniel 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
47 DANIELSON Charlie 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
47 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
47 CHEN Boaz 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 2% -
50 IM Tyler 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
51 KIM Eric 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 7% -
52 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
53 BAGGA Shray 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
54 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
55 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
56 BRUM Charles E. 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
57 ZHANG Richard Y. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
58 WONG Ron 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
59 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
60 LUC Linkin 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
61 KROON Landon 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
62 LEE Brian 100% 99% 80% 44% 14% 3% -
63 CHOI LIAM 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
64 LI Philip 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
65 ZHAO Aidan 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3% -
66 LIANG Preston 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
67 FU BRANDEN 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
68 SLIGAR Jackson 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
69 PARK Emerson 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
70 WANG David 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
71 LO Lei 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
71 LEE Bill King 100% 94% 62% 19% 3% - -
73 FISCHER Noel 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
74 QI Jeremy 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
75 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
76 HAN Kyle 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
77 LEE Winston 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
78 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 82% 45% 13% 1% -
79 GONG Yubo (Justin) 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
79 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 87% 46% 10% 1% - -
81 BELTRAN REYES Gael Alejandro 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
82 LIU Ryan 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
83 CHOW Tyson J. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
84 GU Dean 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
85 CHEN Aaron 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
85 WU Dawei 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
87 WARD Carter 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
88 GUO Youwei 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
89 WANG Daniel 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
90 FLORES Mateo Pakal 100% 24% 2% - - - -
91 GUO Jonathan 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% - -
91 CHIANG Tyson 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
93 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
93 COOK Ridgely 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
93 CHEUNG Evan 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
96 LEE Alexander 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
97 BRADIC Andreja 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
97 TAN Ivan 100% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.