George Mason University Patriot Open 2023

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
2 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
3 DIMMETT David C. - - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
3 ABBOUD Michael - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
5 WOODLEY Colin - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
7 TAMULONIS Fen C. - - 2% 14% 38% 39% 6%
8 SINGH Aryaman - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
9 TIKHONOV Iliya - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
10 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. - - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
11 LAM Alan - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
12 KROPP Jack - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
13 SINGH Ravin - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6% -
14 HANSEN Lars - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
15 LIN Harrison 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
16 USDIN Anton - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
17 TIKHONOV Daniel - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
18 MARSH Alex 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - < 1%
19 DAN Rex - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9% -
20 TRITHART Jacob M. - 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
21 LAM Bill 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
22 WALLACE George 1% 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
23 MAROCHNIK Daniel - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
24 MODANLOU Navid 5% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
25 WHITE Myles - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
26 YI Jason - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
27 ALI Farhan - 5% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
28 WATSON Raymond 19% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
29 YOON Sungho - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
30 MEGGERS Davin 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
31 SO Lorenzo - 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
32 FU Ethan - 5% 24% 44% 22% 4% -
33 PICCUS Isaac S. - - 3% 15% 32% 34% 14%
34 KIM Joshua 28% 44% 22% 5% - - -
35 BARTLETT Lauren 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% - -
36 ARMSTRONG Gary 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
37 JÁÑEZ César 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
38 LUNDEN Espen 40% 46% 13% 2% - - -
39 EVANS George 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
40 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
41 CHHU Allen 10% 39% 39% 12% 1% - -
41 TANG Justin 1% 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
43 WARD Elijah 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
44 KANG Junwoo 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
45 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
46 WONG Ryan 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
47 WEBER Nicole 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
48 EARLY Isabel 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
49 MCDOWELL Finn 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.