George Mason University Patriot Open 2023

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
2 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 31%
3 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
3 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
5 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
7 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 6%
8 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
9 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
10 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 6%
11 LAM Alan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
12 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
13 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6% -
14 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
15 LIN Harrison 100% 99% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
16 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
17 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
18 MARSH Alex 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - < 1%
19 DAN Rex 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9% -
20 TRITHART Jacob M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
21 LAM Bill 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
22 WALLACE George 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
23 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
24 MODANLOU Navid 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
25 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
26 YI Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
27 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% -
28 WATSON Raymond 100% 81% 33% 7% 1% - -
29 YOON Sungho 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
30 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% 1%
31 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
32 FU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 5% -
33 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
34 KIM Joshua 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
35 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% - -
36 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
37 JÁÑEZ César 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
38 LUNDEN Espen 100% 60% 14% 2% - - -
39 EVANS George 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
40 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
41 CHHU Allen 100% 90% 51% 13% 1% - -
41 TANG Justin 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
43 WARD Elijah 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
44 KANG Junwoo 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
45 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
46 WONG Ryan 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
47 WEBER Nicole 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
48 EARLY Isabel 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
49 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.