April Fools Day Fencing Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Mcguire Middle School - Eden Prairie, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WILKINS Mateo - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
2 NAIDL Josiah - 4% 18% 38% 32% 9%
3 BERSCHEID Arthur - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
5 JARCHO Beckett - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
6 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
7 CHEN Weizhi - 1% 10% 33% 43% 14%
8 ZEITLER Blake - - 3% 22% 56% 18%
9 WITZ Brandon - 2% 13% 35% 37% 14%
10 WEISS Quintin 35% 45% 17% 3% < 1% -
11 ZHANG Alexander 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
12 GARSKE James 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
13 ROBBINS Christopher - 4% 21% 42% 27% 5%
14 ISHANOVA Sofia 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
15 LOCKWOOD Jacob 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
16 HOWLAND Jonas 3% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
17 MARTZ Michael 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
18 WOODS Jarek 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
19 NEAS Derek 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
20 SHELTON Olivia 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
21 BROWN Ian 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
22 ESKRIDGE Rhys 3% 34% 44% 16% 2% -
22 RUBY Asher 2% 18% 41% 29% 8% 1%
24 GERBER William 12% 43% 35% 8% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.