April Fools Day Fencing Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Mcguire Middle School - Eden Prairie, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
2 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
3 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
5 JARCHO Beckett 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
6 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
7 CHEN Weizhi 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
8 ZEITLER Blake 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 18%
9 WITZ Brandon 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
10 WEISS Quintin 100% 65% 19% 3% < 1% -
11 ZHANG Alexander 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
12 GARSKE James 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
13 ROBBINS Christopher 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
14 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
15 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
16 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 97% 80% 40% 9% 1%
17 MARTZ Michael 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
18 WOODS Jarek 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
19 NEAS Derek 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
20 SHELTON Olivia 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
21 BROWN Ian 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
22 ESKRIDGE Rhys 100% 97% 63% 19% 2% -
22 RUBY Asher 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
24 GERBER William 100% 88% 44% 9% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.