Rockland RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Dominican University New York - Orangeburg, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	YANG Emma	-	-	4%	22%	46%	28%
2	MCSHERRY Ava	-	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	30%
3	SHENG Katherine	-	9%	33%	40%	17%	2%
3	WANG Joanna	-	1%	6%	26%	43%	24%
5	LI Eleanor	-	-	3%	15%	34%	36%	12%
6	PEVZNER Nicole	-	-	2%	17%	45%	35%
7	LEVY Avery	1%	8%	26%	37%	24%	5%
8	WANG Yudi	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	1%
9	CHO Emily (Euran)	-	1%	7%	28%	45%	20%
10	SHMAY Anastasia	-	-	4%	21%	46%	28%
11	SIMONOV Dasha	-	-	3%	19%	44%	33%
12	WANG Amabel	-	1%	10%	33%	40%	15%
13	ROZPEDOWSKI Claire	3%	18%	35%	30%	12%	2%
14	SHA Yi Ling	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
15	WANG Sabrina	-	3%	19%	39%	31%	8%
16	FIELD Elizabeth	-	-	6%	26%	46%	22%
17	ZELDIN Nadia	-	6%	26%	42%	22%	3%
18	DIMATULAC Elise Ann	6%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%	-
19	LI Han (Helina)	2%	14%	35%	35%	13%	1%
20	BASILE Gianna	1%	15%	39%	33%	11%	1%
21	MARTIRE Alessandra	1%	24%	43%	26%	6%	-
22	HARRIS Julia	1%	10%	28%	37%	21%	4%
23	LEE Allison	44%	42%	13%	1%	-	-
24	BABIAC Julia	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
24	REZA Fukaina	8%	35%	39%	15%	2%	-
26	LIU Long	10%	34%	37%	16%	3%	-
27	BERGEL Daphne	6%	24%	36%	24%	8%	1%	-
28	CHEN Sophie	7%	32%	40%	17%	3%	-
29	MAJID Inaaya	8%	31%	38%	19%	3%	-
30	SHERLOCK Gabriella	18%	38%	30%	11%	2%	-	-
31	KAPRAN Anastasia	1%	5%	20%	34%	28%	10%	1%
32	MCDERMOTT Catherine	4%	38%	41%	15%	2%	-
33	ZOLDAN Gweniveve A.	1%	21%	42%	29%	7%	1%
34	LIU Jingyi (Eva)	32%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-
35	TSIPORUKHA Sasha	81%	17%	1%	-	-	-
36	HUANG Sophie	25%	43%	25%	6%	1%	-
37	OTTERMAN Jenna	90%	9%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.