Portland ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
2 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
3 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 52%
3 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
5 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
6 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
7 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
8 URBAN Karl 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
9 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
10 BEAVER Aaron 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
12 STILL Michael J. 100% 100% 97% 76% 21% 2% -
13 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
14 BAXTER Daniel J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 30% 5%
14 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 20% 2%
14 PARKS Isaac 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
17 RISSIEK Markus 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
18 MEEHAN Justin X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
19 ARMES Jonas 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
20 KIM Andrew J. 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 1%
21 STOCK Jordan 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
22 STARR Harry E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
23 ELLINGTON Jeff B. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
24 JEARY Sean 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 3% -
25 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
26 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% - -
27 WEGENER Soren 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% -
28 CHAO Warren 100% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
29 JACKSON Thomas 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
30 KLEIN Johannes 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
31 WAI Andreas 100% 93% 54% 16% 2% - -
32 OLSON Kevin 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
33 MING Nathan 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
34 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
35 BECKER Joseph 100% 71% 24% 4% - -
36 GROVE Michael 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
37 BARNA Randall 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
38 KIM Teo 100% 94% 61% 17% 2% - -
39 RUTLEDGE Noah 100% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.