American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 XUE Alanna 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
3 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 5%
3 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
5 SOLSKY Brooke A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
6 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
7 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 34%
8 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
9 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
10 FU Qihan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
11 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
12 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
13 SEGAL Lydia G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
14 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
15 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
16 NARANG Maya 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
17 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 6%
18 MOY Kayla A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
19 HOLLE Aviella S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13%
20 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
21 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
22 PAGES Melanie 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 9% 1%
23 CHEN Georgia M. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% < 1% -
24 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
25 SLASKI Caroline O. 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
26 SU Michelle 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
27 YU Jaime L. 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6%
28 BOODELL Ella 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
29 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 99% 91% 57% 18% 2%
30 TANG Ai Jia 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
31 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
32 JENKINS Hannah G. 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
33 BHAN Zala 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
34 BECKER Elena 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
35 BECCHINA Claire E. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
36 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
37 WERBACH Esther 100% 97% 80% 45% 16% 3% -
38 KANIUK Rachel 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
39 LIU Sophia 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
40 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
41 LAM Victoria M. 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
42 DRANOVSKY Dasha 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
43 HEISER Anna M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
44 GINDE Maithili 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
45 JULIUS Sonia 100% 96% 61% 21% 4% -
46 GUTKOVSKAYA Nora 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
47 DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
48 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
49 ROHRING Anna L. 100% 49% 8% 1% - -
50 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 35% 5% - - -
51 LAPPER Whitney P. 100% 21% 2% - - -
52 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 92% 49% 13% 1% -
53 SCHLOTTERBECK Abigail 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
54 ZGOMBIC Emily 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
55 CHEUNG Kaitlin 100% 68% 19% 2% - - -
56 NICOU Melina 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
57 MUTAKABBIR Assata 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
58 GARDINER Sophia A. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
59 CHEN Jasmine 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
60 CHEN Yichun 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
61 FERRIS Nayah 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
62 FURST Chloe 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1%
63 GUZIK Stella 100% 94% 63% 18% 2% -
64 SILVER Anna 100% 59% 11% 1% - - -
65 JONES Jenna 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
66 SIEB Sydney 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.