The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
2 XUE Alanna - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
3 HUANG Natalie - 4% 18% 39% 33% 5%
3 ACHILOVA Feyza - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 14%
5 SOLSKY Brooke A. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
6 MCSHINE Katelyn H. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
7 MILLER Naomi E. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
8 WANG Ellen - - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
9 HECKMANN Emma - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
10 FU Qihan - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
11 LI Rachel Y. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
12 WU Julianna Y. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
13 SEGAL Lydia G. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
14 SHAW Kayla M. - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
15 PAHLAVI Dahlia - 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
16 NARANG Maya - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
17 MCKEE Alexandra K. - 2% 19% 43% 30% 6%
18 MOY Kayla A. - - 2% 15% 40% 35% 7%
19 HOLLE Aviella S. - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
20 WEINTRAUB Io H. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
21 ZHAO Aileen Y. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
22 PAGES Melanie - 5% 20% 39% 27% 8% 1%
23 CHEN Georgia M. 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% < 1% -
24 VEERKAMP Molly - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
25 SLASKI Caroline O. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
26 SU Michelle - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
27 YU Jaime L. - 5% 24% 40% 26% 6%
28 BOODELL Ella - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
29 BASSON Bayley D. 1% 9% 33% 40% 16% 2%
30 TANG Ai Jia 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
31 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
32 JENKINS Hannah G. 1% 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
33 BHAN Zala 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
34 BECKER Elena - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
35 BECCHINA Claire E. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
36 MUELLER Tatum J. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
37 WERBACH Esther 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
38 KANIUK Rachel 1% 12% 37% 36% 12% 1%
39 LIU Sophia 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1%
40 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
41 LAM Victoria M. 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
42 DRANOVSKY Dasha - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
43 HEISER Anna M. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
44 GINDE Maithili 11% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
45 JULIUS Sonia 4% 35% 40% 18% 3% -
46 GUTKOVSKAYA Nora - - < 1% 6% 31% 63%
47 DRESSEL Pamela (Pam) A. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
48 HUNT Abigail S. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
49 ROHRING Anna L. 51% 40% 8% 1% - -
50 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 65% 30% 5% - - -
51 LAPPER Whitney P. 79% 20% 1% - - -
52 CHARALEL Jessica 8% 43% 37% 11% 1% -
53 SCHLOTTERBECK Abigail 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
54 ZGOMBIC Emily 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
55 CHEUNG Kaitlin 32% 49% 17% 2% - - -
56 NICOU Melina 7% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
57 MUTAKABBIR Assata 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
58 GARDINER Sophia A. 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
59 CHEN Jasmine 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
60 CHEN Yichun 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
61 FERRIS Nayah 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
62 FURST Chloe 1% 22% 42% 28% 7% 1%
63 GUZIK Stella 6% 31% 45% 16% 2% -
64 SILVER Anna 41% 48% 10% 1% - - -
65 JONES Jenna 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
66 SIEB Sydney 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.