Portland ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URBAN Karl 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
2 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
3 STILL Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
5 JACKSON Thomas 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
6 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
7 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
8 PARKS Isaac 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
9 BECKER Joseph 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
10 KIM Teo 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
11 PATCHETT Bennett 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
12 ABRAHAMS Owen 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
13 MING Nathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
14 WEGENER Soren 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
15 WAI Andreas 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
16 ARMES Jonas 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
17 OLSON Kevin 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
18 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
19 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
20 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
21 GROVE Michael 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
22 SILKEY Jason 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
23 RUTLEDGE Noah 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
24 SPERANZA John 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
25 REED David 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
26 LIGHT Luke 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.