Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSaturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2251 | 2306 - 2217 |
| 5 - 8 | 2110 | 2139 - 2084 |
| 9 - 16 | 1943 | 2070 - 1879 |
| 17 - 32 | 1717 | 1994 - 1574 |
| 33 - 64 | 1292 | 1643 - 886 |
| 65 - 81 | 783 | 1150 - 435 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.