Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSaturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2378 | 2453 - 2236 |
| 5 - 8 | 2167 | 2221 - 2098 |
| 9 - 16 | 1973 | 2041 - 1933 |
| 17 - 32 | 1798 | 1920 - 1694 |
| 33 - 64 | 1556 | 1918 - 1301 |
| 65 - 105 | 1051 | 1344 - 376 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.