Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSunday, January 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2401 | 2512 - 2348 |
| 5 - 8 | 2240 | 2361 - 2171 |
| 9 - 16 | 2040 | 2107 - 1997 |
| 17 - 32 | 1884 | 1981 - 1802 |
| 33 - 64 | 1581 | 1799 - 1309 |
| 65 - 89 | 1129 | 1400 - 806 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.