American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 TIAN Albert - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
2 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
3 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
3 TAKEMARU Leo - - - 5% 25% 43% 26%
5 WOLIN Zachary A. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
6 MICHELL Bailey - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
7 GINIS Nathan - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
8 NG Jonathan H. - - 4% 19% 41% 29% 6%
9 WU Nicholas R. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
10 GILES Jeremy M. - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
11 MORRIS Samuel A. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
12 CHIEN Phillip L. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
13 CHO Brandon - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
14 YAO Jonathan - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
15 TANG Brendan J. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
16 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
17 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
18 RIVERA Inigo Franco - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
19 HUDDY Brandon J. - - 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
20 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 4%
21 LILOV Neil - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
22 MURTHY Mukund - 2% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3%
23 SO Hananiah - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
24 HENNICKE Michael G. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
25 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
26 HUAYTA James W. - 7% 37% 37% 15% 3% -
27 KIM Avery J. - 3% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2%
28 YEN Preston - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
29 REYES Kyle 16% 53% 26% 4% - - -
30 BROWNE JR Rolston D. - - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
31 VON TULGANBURG Cameron C. 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
32 HALL Justyn 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
33 ODIERNO Payton W. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
34 HOEY-WASOW Henry 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
35 KAHN Justin M. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
36 NOLTEMY Daniel J. - 2% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
37 QUAN Nicholas 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
38 CHAN Daniel 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
39 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
39 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
41 GOSALIA Rishab 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
42 WANG Qifa - - 1% 6% 28% 46% 19%
43 SZEWCZYK Thomas D. - 6% 29% 46% 17% 2% -
44 PARKHURST Jr Michael 1% 13% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
45 CACERES Hernan 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
46 LIU Vincent S. 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
47 NUCCIARONE Jason 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% - -
48 ZHOU Miles 43% 40% 14% 3% - - - -
49 WHITAKER Andrew 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
50 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
51 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
52 DOUCET Justin P. 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
52 LIU Kelly - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
54 TSODIKOV Matthew G. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
55 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
56 SHI Andrew - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
57 DUNN John (Jack) F. 34% 44% 19% 4% - - -
58 YU Alexander 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
59 QIN Alexander 11% 44% 33% 10% 2% - -
60 LASORSA Matthew 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
63 GANTA Vijay < 1% 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
64 KURTZ Christopher S. 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
65 WALKER Robert Connor 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
66 TANG Albert 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
67 YOU Jaden 57% 39% 4% - - - -
68 FISK Ethan 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
69 ANGELILLO Nicholas 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
69 MALDARI Frank 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
71 MCCARTHY Devan 66% 31% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.