The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 TIAN Albert 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
2 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
3 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
3 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
5 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
6 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
7 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
8 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
9 WU Nicholas R. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
10 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
11 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
12 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
13 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
14 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
15 TANG Brendan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
16 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
17 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
18 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
19 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
20 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
21 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
22 MURTHY Mukund 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
23 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
24 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
25 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
26 HUAYTA James W. 100% 100% 93% 56% 19% 3% -
27 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2%
28 YEN Preston 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
29 REYES Kyle 100% 84% 31% 5% - - -
30 BROWNE JR Rolston D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
31 VON TULGANBURG Cameron C. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
32 HALL Justyn 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
33 ODIERNO Payton W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
34 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
35 KAHN Justin M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 7% 1%
36 NOLTEMY Daniel J. 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
37 QUAN Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
38 CHAN Daniel 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
39 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
39 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
41 GOSALIA Rishab 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
42 WANG Qifa 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
43 SZEWCZYK Thomas D. 100% 100% 93% 64% 19% 2% -
44 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 99% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
45 CACERES Hernan 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
46 LIU Vincent S. 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% - -
47 NUCCIARONE Jason 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% - -
48 ZHOU Miles 100% 57% 17% 3% - - - -
49 WHITAKER Andrew 100% 87% 46% 14% 2% - -
50 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
51 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3%
52 DOUCET Justin P. 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
52 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
54 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
55 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
56 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
57 DUNN John (Jack) F. 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
58 YU Alexander 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
59 QIN Alexander 100% 89% 45% 12% 2% - -
60 LASORSA Matthew 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
63 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
64 KURTZ Christopher S. 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
65 WALKER Robert Connor 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
66 TANG Albert 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
67 YOU Jaden 100% 43% 4% - - - -
68 FISK Ethan 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
69 ANGELILLO Nicholas 100% 91% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
69 MALDARI Frank 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
71 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 34% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.