Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Veteran Men's Foil

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHEN jinjie 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
2 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
3 DORFMAN Mitchell (Mitch) J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
3 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
5 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 MCCARTHY Daniel (Dan) W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
7 CHANG William 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
8 YANG David 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% -
9 NEWELL Tim 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
10 MANZON Antonio 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
11 CHAO Pierre 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
12 JENKINS Michael 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.