Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FIGUEREDO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
2 WESTERN Rafael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 HARE John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
3 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
7 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
8 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
9 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
10 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
11 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
12 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
13 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
14 KANG evan R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
15 ZHAO Lucas 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
16 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
17 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
18 STAMIS Kyle 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
19 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
20 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
21 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
22 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
22 TENG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
24 DEPEW Spencer 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
25 PAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
26 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
27 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
28 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
29 TIAGI Daniel 100% 94% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
30 CHENG Hong 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
31 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
32 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
33 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 1%
34 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
35 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
36 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
37 STONE Christopher A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
38 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
39 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
40 CHEN Samuel 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
41 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
42 HUROWITZ Max 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
43 LIU Kevin 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
44 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
45 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
46 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
47 WEN Edward 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
48 HUANG Tom 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
49 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% -
50 PERRON Robert 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
51 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
52 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
53 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
54 LAU Justin Y. 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
55 ZHENG LEON 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
56 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
57 MURTHY mukund 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
58 KIM Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
58 KIM Theodore 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
60 HUFF Clayton R. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
61 XU Justin 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
62 TIAGI George 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
63 WANG Weiyun 100% 85% 46% 14% 3% - -
64 WU Richard 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
65 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 91% 64% 30% 7% 1%
66 KUMAR Arjun 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
67 HENDERSON Jack 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
68 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
69 KOGAN Nikita 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
70 FORD Tyler J. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
71 BHATIA Ekam 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
72 LUCAS Hayden 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
73 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
74 AMES Kylan 100% 32% 4% - - - -
75 COURTIN Frederic 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
76 BARROWS Hunter 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.