Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Sophia - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
2 SINGH Evangelina 3% 20% 43% 30% 3% -
3 RICHARDS Axelle 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 7%
3 HAFEZ Sahar - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
5 WU Lorena - - - 1% 14% 85%
6 LIU Jenna 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
7 BLANKS Campbell - - 6% 32% 59% 4%
8 ZHANG Caroline 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
9 ALLEN Sophia 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
10 KUTATELADZE Anna 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
11 ACHESON Lilianne 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
12 OWEN Alexandra 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
13 MEITZEN Havah 4% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
14 REILLY Carys 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
15 SHI Micah 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
16 BALMER Zoe 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% -
17 PHAN Logan 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
18 LIU Joanna 31% 45% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.