Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Sophia 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
2 SINGH Evangelina 100% 97% 77% 34% 3% -
3 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
3 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
5 WU Lorena 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
6 LIU Jenna 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
7 BLANKS Campbell 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 4%
8 ZHANG Caroline 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
9 ALLEN Sophia 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
10 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
11 ACHESON Lilianne 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
12 OWEN Alexandra 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
13 MEITZEN Havah 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
14 REILLY Carys 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
15 SHI Micah 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
16 BALMER Zoe 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
17 PHAN Logan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
18 LIU Joanna 100% 69% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.