Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YAN William - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 LIN Felix - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
3 XU Ivan 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
3 HARDRICK Noah 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
5 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
6 MILLER Felix 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
7 BAKIAN Tristan 9% 32% 38% 18% 3%
8 CRAIN Bennett 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
9 VALENCIA Jose 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
10 RINALDI Savio 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
11 MOLDABEK-MACHADO Aron 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
12 PORTER Dupree - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
13 PAUL James 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
14 BREUER Daniel 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
15 LIAO Sirui 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
16 LEE Thomas 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
17 CAI fungyu 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1%
18 CHAWLA Abhishek 12% 37% 36% 14% 1% -
19 GRABOWSKI Stanley 15% 37% 33% 13% 2%
20 WIGHTMAN Fergus - 3% 27% 43% 23% 4%
21 POMPONI Tristan 2% 19% 41% 31% 7%
22 SHEPHERD John 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
22 BRAMLETT Myer 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.