Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 XU Ivan 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
3 HARDRICK Noah 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
5 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
6 MILLER Felix 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
7 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
8 CRAIN Bennett 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
9 VALENCIA Jose 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
10 RINALDI Savio 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
11 MOLDABEK-MACHADO Aron 100% 97% 78% 40% 8%
12 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
13 PAUL James 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
14 BREUER Daniel 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
15 LIAO Sirui 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
16 LEE Thomas 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
17 CAI fungyu 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
18 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
19 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 85% 48% 15% 2%
20 WIGHTMAN Fergus 100% 100% 97% 70% 27% 4%
21 POMPONI Tristan 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
22 SHEPHERD John 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
22 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.