Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CORBIN Bennett - - - - 3% 25% 71%
2 BOUDREAUX James - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
3 LEE DoWon - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 HEADRICK Jack - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
5 ARMSTRONG TyLee - - 5% 31% 42% 19% 3%
6 PENG Yue - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
7 AYOTTE James - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 27%
8 SUN Ethan - 5% 19% 36% 30% 8% 1%
9 CHA Patrick - - 1% 11% 43% 41% 5%
10 YI Nathan - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
11 DOAN Christopher - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
12 AHN EZRA - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
13 LEE Anton - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
14 CHEN Isaac Zhi 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
15 KONG Brandon - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20% 2%
16 DELONG Joshua 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
17 ADDYSON Aidan 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
18 ROBERTS Phoenix - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
19 CHANG Matthew - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% -
20 WILKERSON Tobias 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
21 KROPP Wesley - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
22 FONG Henry - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
23 KONG Ethan - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
24 WANG Marcus 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
25 MOORE Alexander - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
26 MIKHAIL Lucas - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 16%
27 POLAGANI Krishiv 5% 24% 40% 26% 5% - -
28 RAMEY Daylon 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
29 NAM Nathaniel 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
30 WU Jiachen 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
31 BURHANAN Tangguh 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
32 QU RuiTing 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
33 GOVOROV Alexander - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
34 GATEWOOD Michael 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
35 GEURTSEN Henry 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
36 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
37 STRAFFORD Andrew 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
38 VUPPULURI Emil 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
39 MCCABE Kian 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
40 HUNTER Owen 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
41 PARY Jean Pierre 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
42 LAM Jayden 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
43 FENG Xinmin 10% 33% 38% 16% 3% - -
44 ZHAO Brandon 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
45 BURT Jonathan Parker < 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
46 CHAN Ian 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
47 JONES Gideon 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
48 MILLER Balthazar 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
49 DAWAY Gabriel 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.