Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
5 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 22% 3%
6 PENG Yue 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
7 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
8 SUN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
9 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45% 5%
10 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
11 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
12 AHN EZRA 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
13 LEE Anton 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
14 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
15 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
16 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
17 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
18 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
19 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
20 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
21 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
22 FONG Henry 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
23 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
24 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
25 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
26 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
27 POLAGANI Krishiv 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% - -
28 RAMEY Daylon 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
29 NAM Nathaniel 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
30 WU Jiachen 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
31 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
32 QU RuiTing 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
33 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
34 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
35 GEURTSEN Henry 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
36 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
37 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
38 VUPPULURI Emil 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
39 MCCABE Kian 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
40 HUNTER Owen 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
41 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
42 LAM Jayden 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
43 FENG Xinmin 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
44 ZHAO Brandon 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
45 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
46 CHAN Ian 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
47 JONES Gideon 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
48 MILLER Balthazar 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
49 DAWAY Gabriel 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.