Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
2 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
3 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
3 FURMAN Maria 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
5 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
6 YOU Emily 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
7 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
8 QIU Emily 100% 100% 99% 80% 35% 6% -
9 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
10 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
11 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 6% -
12 TAPIA Sandy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
13 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 98% 62% 19% 2% -
14 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 100% 90% 53% 13% 1%
15 PEELER Julia 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
16 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
17 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 3%
18 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
19 FANG Kayla 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
20 VAZQUEZ-LOPEZ Veronica J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
20 ALAWNEH Lujain 100% 44% 2% - - - -
22 NOH Rachel 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
23 MURPHY Katherine 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
24 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
25 ALAWNEH Leen 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
26 MACEDON Gianna 100% 96% 73% 29% 5% - -
27 MAY Courtney 100% 61% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.