Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Veteran Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LANG Markus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
2 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
5 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 17%
6 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
7 MORET Eric N. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
8 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
9 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
10 KIM Jeff 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
11 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
12 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
13 ZHANG Sen 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
14 SMITH Herman E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 3%
15 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
16 TREANOR Donald K. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
17 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
18 SCHROEDER William 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
19 WEIDMAN Jess 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
20 DEOLIVARES JOSE M. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
21 KREMPASKY John H. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
22 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
23 ANDERSON Donald 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
24 STONE Ken 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
25 LEE Jongkyu 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
26 SIMS Martin L. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
27 METZLER Jack 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.