Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 MOHAMED Murad - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
3 KNIZHNIK David - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
3 JITTAN daniel - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
5 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
6 WANG Winston - 3% 19% 41% 30% 6%
7 MOHAMED Amir - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
8 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 6%
9 JAUME Andrei - 4% 21% 44% 31%
10 MAO Lucas - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
11 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
12 HAN Changhee 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
13 LIU Ryan 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
14 KLYCZEK Andrew 1% 12% 39% 36% 12% 1%
15 HUANG Eythan 2% 15% 38% 36% 10%
16 EMENHEISER Conrad 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
17 GORDON Jacob - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
18 LEE Jonah 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
19 TANG Albert 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
20 LIGOS Alex M. 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
21 YAO Bradley - 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
22 SONG Austin - 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1%
23 YAP Nathan - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
24 TANG August L. 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
25 TIKHAEV Alexander 5% 23% 37% 27% 9% 1%
26 LEE Brendan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
27 STURGIS Zachary C. 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
28 BERNABE Rafael - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
29 SUN Henry 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
30 JIANG Bowang 9% 35% 38% 16% 2%
31 SHEPHERD Conner M. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
32 KANDAGADLA Rishi 42% 41% 14% 2% -
33 DUSZA Zachery 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
34 WAY Kashi M. - 3% 18% 42% 31% 6%
35 MCKINNEY Isaiah 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
36 LEVY Jacob 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
37 TSAI Caleb 9% 47% 34% 9% 1% -
38 GRIEB Oliver 31% 52% 15% 2% - - -
39 DUELL Jacob P. - < 1% 3% 17% 39% 33% 9%
40 POWELL Sean 44% 45% 10% 1% - - -
41 CHEN Zixuan 71% 26% 3% - - -
41 SMOLICH Marat 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
43 JOHN AYI Neville Pascal 19% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.