Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 JITTAN daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
5 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
6 WANG Winston 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
7 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
9 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
10 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
11 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
12 HAN Changhee 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
13 LIU Ryan 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% -
14 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
15 HUANG Eythan 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
16 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
17 GORDON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
18 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
19 TANG Albert 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
20 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
21 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
22 SONG Austin 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1%
23 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
24 TANG August L. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
25 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
26 LEE Brendan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
27 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% -
28 BERNABE Rafael 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
29 SUN Henry 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
30 JIANG Bowang 100% 91% 56% 18% 2%
31 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
32 KANDAGADLA Rishi 100% 58% 16% 2% -
33 DUSZA Zachery 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
34 WAY Kashi M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 6%
35 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
36 LEVY Jacob 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
37 TSAI Caleb 100% 91% 43% 9% 1% -
38 GRIEB Oliver 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
39 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
40 POWELL Sean 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
41 CHEN Zixuan 100% 29% 3% - - -
41 SMOLICH Marat 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
43 JOHN AYI Neville Pascal 100% 81% 32% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.