Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WOODWARD Connor | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 2 | ZHANG Jeffrey | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | LINDHOLM Oliver S. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | YAN William | V V D D V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 5 | CHAVES Matthew J. | V V V V V D | V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 6 | JENSBY Jason | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 7 | WANG Justin | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 8 | LAU Justin Y. | D V V D V D | V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 9 | BOUKHTIN Maxim | V V V V V V | V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 10 | HOTHA Nikhil | D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 11 | DECK Tyson | V V D D V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 12 | ONG Chinli | D V V V D V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 13 | REHM Liam | D V V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 14 | GAUVEY Kieran | D V V V D V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 15 | LIN Felix | D V V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 16 | SHANKAR Karthik | V V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 17 | ETIN Ari | D V V V V D | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 18 | LICHTERMAN Jakub | V V V V D D | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 19 | SUN Ziyao | V D V V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 20 | PARCELL Colby | V D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 21 | HALL Noah | D V V V D D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 22 | WEINSTEIN Nate | V V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 23 | KUSANAGI Soshi | V D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 24 | BAKIAN Tristan | D D D V V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 25 | DRZEWICZEWSKI Sean | D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 26 | FRUTH Evan | V D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 27 | DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick | D D D D V D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 28 | FARAON Paulus | D D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 29 | CLARK Keagan | D D D D D V | D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 30 | ELLIOTT Reyhan | D D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 31 | BERGER Jacob | D D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 32 | GERALD Hunter | D D D D D D | V D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 33 | AHLMAN Jason | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 34 | KENNEDY Aidan | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.