Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODWARD Connor - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
2 ZHANG Jeffrey - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - - - 6% 33% 61%
3 YAN William - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
5 CHAVES Matthew J. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
6 JENSBY Jason - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
7 WANG Justin - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
8 LAU Justin Y. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
9 BOUKHTIN Maxim - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
10 HOTHA Nikhil - 1% 11% 38% 41% 9%
11 DECK Tyson - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
12 ONG Chinli 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
13 REHM Liam 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
14 GAUVEY Kieran - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
15 LIN Felix 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
16 SHANKAR Karthik - 6% 28% 43% 20% 2%
17 ETIN Ari - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
18 LICHTERMAN Jakub 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
19 SUN Ziyao 1% 13% 42% 34% 9% 1%
20 PARCELL Colby 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
21 HALL Noah 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
22 WEINSTEIN Nate 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
23 KUSANAGI Soshi 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
24 BAKIAN Tristan 15% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
25 DRZEWICZEWSKI Sean 33% 46% 18% 3% - -
26 FRUTH Evan 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
27 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
28 FARAON Paulus 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
29 CLARK Keagan - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
30 ELLIOTT Reyhan 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
31 BERGER Jacob 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
32 GERALD Hunter 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
33 AHLMAN Jason 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
34 KENNEDY Aidan 32% 49% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.