Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

Birth Year

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Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome^*		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	NADKARNI Marisa	V V V D	V V V V	2.5	3	+0.5
2	FAN Alexandria	V V V V	V D	3.0	4	+1.0
3	MARAGH Farrah E.	V D V D	V V D	2.2	2	-0.2
3	SCHMIDT Yehna	D V V V	V V D	1.7	3	+1.3
5	HSU leah	V V V V	V D	3.6	4	+0.4
6	CHANG Norah	V V D V	V D	1.7	3	+1.3
7	TA-ZHOU Sophia	V D V V	V D	1.8	3	+1.2
8	HU Heidi	V D V D	V	2.6	2	-0.6
9	FLEEGER Sophia	V D V D	D	1.0	2	+1.0
10	RYABCHIKOVA Varvara Valeria	V D D V	D	3.1	2	-1.1
11	MYLAVARAPU Dhyuthi	D D V D	D	0.4	1	+0.6
12	WANG Emily	D V D D	D	1.8	1	-0.8
13	WILFRET Katerina	D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
13	HEATH Isabella	D D D D	D	1.8	0	-1.8
15	NAKATA Gwyneth	D D D D	D	2.3	0	-2.3

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color	Opponent's Difficulty	Probability of victory
	Very Hard	0% to 20%
	Hard	20% to 40%
	Roughly even	40% to 60%
	Easy	60% to 80%
	Very Easy	80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

How difficult or easy everyone's pool and the direct elimination path was
How well each fencer performed according to expectations relative to their strength level

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.