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2023 Arizona Summer Nationals Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KRAVETZ Benjamin (Ben) D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 THORNE Casey B. 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 15%
3 PACK Tanner 100% 100% 99% 82% 33%
3 COLLINS Vernon 100% 99% 92% 59% 7%
5 WILLIAMS Timothy 100% 98% 73% 30% 5%
6 PABLO Jesse 100% 99% 89% 50% 7%
7 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 93% 57% 17% 2%
8 HERRON Jonathan 100% 41% 7% 1% -
9 AJAYI Phil 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
10 BRECHTEL James 100% 96% 65% 21% 2%
11 THOGERSEN Eric J. 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
12 MAGNIN Lance 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
13 CONWAY Collin 100% 97% 54% 14% 1%
14 LIPPMAN Elzy 100% 73% 26% 4% -
15 HASEGAWA Noah 100% 95% 64% 15% 1%
16 XU Wangzitai 100% 92% 58% 19% 2%
17 HILLARD Jake 100% 100% 99% 89% 38%
18 SANBORN Dimitri 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
19 BIRK Phillip 100% 100% 93% 67% 23%
20 HERMANDEZ Fernando 100% 80% 32% 5% -
21 STEVENS Jacob 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
22 BALDWIN Alexander 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
23 SYPES Michael 100% 97% 67% 23% 3%
23 WALLIS Wyatt 100% 83% 36% 4% -
25 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 81% 36% 6% -
26 KINGSLEY Daniel A. 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
27 LAURSEN Logan 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
28 SANKEY Levi 100% 33% 4% - -
29 HOUSEHOLDER Kyle 100% 95% 67% 17% 1%
29 SANKEY Luka 100% 65% 17% 2% -
31 CHERNEK Stephen 100% 100% 91% 59% 17%
32 NIKOLOV Ruben 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
33 LOPRESTI Austin 100% 97% 75% 32% 4%
34 CUEVAS Tom 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
35 ALLRED Byron 100% 92% 54% 14% 1%
35 WELLING Cohen 100% 34% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.