Illinois Division Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Patten Gymnasium - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
2 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 REINER Julius J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
4 CHEN Bowen 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
5 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% < 1%
6 MILLER Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 92% 44%
7 PAPP Mike 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 TOLBERT Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
9 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 99% 84% 35% 3%
10 HETZ John 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
11 CORRALES Victor M. 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 3%
12 MALEADY Sean 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
13 BOZARTH Alex 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
14 STOKER Elliott 100% 40% 6% - -
15 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 57% 14% 1% - -
16 DESAI Aadi 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
17 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
18 COHEN Henry 100% 97% 79% 42% 9% 1%
19 PATEL Aayan 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
20 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
21 DUNLOP Richard (Dick) M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
22 CARL Evan 100% 96% 47% 8% -
23 LORINCE Jared 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.