2018 Falcon Open

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 10:30 AM

USAFA Cadet Gymnasium, Center Gym - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 NIKOLAI IV IV William (Will) L. - - 3% 12% 26% 32% 21% 6%
2 SMITH David C. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 D'ORAZIO Joseph - - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
3 SINGER Carson - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
5 POSSICK Owen A. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
6 FORMAN Logan - 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
7 BARBER Brendan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
8 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 6% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2% -
9 NEUHEARDT Peter - 4% 16% 30% 29% 15% 4% -
10 RABINKOV Anthony 8% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
11 GORTON George F. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
12 WANG Alex Y. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
13 HOUTZ Jackson 4% 21% 34% 26% 11% 3% - -
14 POPE Nico - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
15 HOFILENA Mark 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.