2018 Falcon Open

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 10:30 AM

USAFA Cadet Gymnasium, Center Gym - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 NIKOLAI IV IV William (Will) L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 27% 6%
2 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19%
3 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
3 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
5 POSSICK Owen A. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
6 FORMAN Logan 100% 100% 99% 91% 72% 41% 14% 2%
7 BARBER Brendan 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
8 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 14% 3% -
9 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 100% 96% 79% 49% 20% 5% -
10 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
11 GORTON George F. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
12 WANG Alex Y. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
13 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 96% 74% 40% 14% 3% - -
14 POPE Nico 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
15 HOFILENA Mark 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.