Event Preview
Junior OlympicsSunday, January 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3086 | 3350 - 2978 |
| 5 - 8 | 2848 | 2974 - 2781 |
| 9 - 16 | 2653 | 2728 - 2554 |
| 17 - 32 | 2525 | 2675 - 2482 |
| 33 - 64 | 2387 | 2488 - 2256 |
| 65 - 128 | 2079 | 2256 - 1877 |
| 129 - 210 | 1578 | 2500 - 729 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.