Event Preview
Junior OlympicsSunday, January 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3084 | 3298 - 2989 |
| 5 - 8 | 2828 | 2942 - 2757 |
| 9 - 16 | 2630 | 2712 - 2558 |
| 17 - 32 | 2504 | 2553 - 2456 |
| 33 - 64 | 2368 | 2670 - 2250 |
| 65 - 128 | 2068 | 2258 - 1886 |
| 129 - 208 | 1573 | 2500 - 767 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.