Event Preview
Junior OlympicsSunday, January 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3084 | 3350 - 2974 |
| 5 - 8 | 2849 | 2975 - 2781 |
| 9 - 16 | 2656 | 2728 - 2571 |
| 17 - 32 | 2523 | 2675 - 2484 |
| 33 - 64 | 2381 | 2479 - 2246 |
| 65 - 128 | 2074 | 2248 - 1877 |
| 129 - 208 | 1579 | 2500 - 764 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.