Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 1:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - 3% 28% 70%
2 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
5 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
6 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - 1% 13% 87%
6 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - 5% 29% 66%
8 ESCUETA Tony V. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
9 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 4% 29% 67%
10 CHON Taylor A. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
11 MORRILL William - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
12 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
13 SMITH Jared C. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
14 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
15 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
16 YUN Jake 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
17 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
18 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
19 JI Cody Walter - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
20 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
21 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
22 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 4% 26% 56% 14%
23 TRAVERS Samir T. - 3% 17% 40% 35% 6%
24 WALKER Dalton F. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
25 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
26 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
27 WITEK Bernard J. 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
28 HOLZ William A. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
29 ZUBATIY Samuel 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
30 BAE Jason I. 5% 26% 42% 23% 3% -
31 PRIMUS Nazir 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
32 DODRILL Grant - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
33 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% < 1%
34 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
35 ERMAKOV Lev - 3% 13% 33% 36% 14% 1%
36 XU William 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
37 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
38 BARNETT Adam - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
39 BERMAN Luca 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
40 SO Hananiah - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
41 MICLAUS Justin 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
42 HU Christopher 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
43 CHAN Matthew - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
44 WANG Robert 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
45 BOOTH Zaheer - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
46 LIANG Connor - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
47 KIM Shaun M. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
48 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
49 BERRIO Carter E. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
50 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
51 REN Richard 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
52 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
54 FENG Leo 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
55 ZENG Noah 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
56 MARGULIES William 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
57 SARON Mitchell S. - - < 1% 1% 18% 81%
58 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
59 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
60 NAZLYMOV Andrei 4% 23% 42% 27% 4% -
61 JOHNSON Langston C. 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
62 LEE Justin - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
63 NOBLE Colin 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -
64 QIU Nathan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
65 DENNER Lysander H. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
66 GANTA Vijay 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
67 KIM Brian S. - - 2% 10% 32% 41% 15%
68 YANG Ziyi 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2%
69 ROBERTS Sam 3% 18% 36% 32% 11% 1%
70 KOGAN Benjamin - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
71 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 4%
72 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
73 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
74 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
75 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 2%
76 WAXLER Seth B. 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% - -
77 STONE Esmond A. 7% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
78 DENNER Maximilian P. 3% 16% 35% 34% 12% -
79 YANG Dylan 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
80 YUN Jaesun - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
81 BULL Anderson 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
82 TAO Jeffrey 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
83 WILSON Jude 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
84 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
85 BERGER Oliver - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
86 MAKLIN Edward P. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
86 SIMAK Joseph P. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
88 CHEONG Heonjae 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
89 PATIL Aaryan A. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
90 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
91 DENG Andrew 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
92 VO Minh Q. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
93 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 2% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
94 KALPATHY Rohit 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
95 CHEONG Heonjun 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
96 SHOMAN Zachary 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
96 GHAYALOD ansh 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% -
96 REN James 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
99 TONG ZACHARY 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
100 PANDEY Neil 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
101 HJERPE Wade H. 10% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
102 CHTERENTAL Alex 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
103 BARBER William S. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
104 OH Triton 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
104 WU Roger (Mengke) - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
106 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
107 LIM William J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
107 RAMANAN Jaisimh 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
109 HAN Daniel Y. 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
109 RIGHTLER Samuel 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
111 MICHELL Bailey 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
111 LO Konnor 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
113 GAO Albert 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
113 BOSITA Carson 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
115 WANG Nicolas 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
116 GREENBAUM Ian L. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
117 KIM Matthew 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
118 KWALWASSER Eric 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
119 LEE Aydan J. 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
120 CHOI Silas 8% 29% 37% 21% 4% -
121 XU Andrew 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
122 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
123 LIN Daniel 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
124 KIM Alexander M. 7% 32% 41% 18% 2% -
125 DEPEW Spencer 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
126 HONG Steven 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
127 SAHAY Kenji 42% 42% 15% 2% - -
128 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
129 JIANG Anthony 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 1%
130 BROU Inkosi 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
131 KUMAR Sachit 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
132 LE Hayden 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
133 KILGALLEN William 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
134 CHIN Matthew W. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
134 GLOZMAN Justin 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
136 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
137 GUFFEY Christopher 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
138 MCCARTHY Gabriel 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
138 PAN Alex 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
140 KIM-COGAN Ryan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
141 LUO George F. 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
142 PI Alexander 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
143 SHOMAN Noah 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
143 AVAKIAN Alec 10% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
145 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
146 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.