Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 1:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
5 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
6 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
6 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
8 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
9 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
10 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
11 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
12 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
13 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
14 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
15 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
16 YUN Jake 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
17 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
18 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
19 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
20 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
21 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
22 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 14%
23 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
24 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
25 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
26 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
27 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
28 HOLZ William A. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
29 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
30 BAE Jason I. 100% 95% 69% 27% 3% -
31 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
32 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
33 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% < 1%
34 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
35 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
36 XU William 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
37 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 13%
38 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
39 BERMAN Luca 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
40 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
41 MICLAUS Justin 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
42 HU Christopher 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
43 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
44 WANG Robert 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
45 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
46 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
47 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
48 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
49 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
50 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
51 REN Richard 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
52 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
54 FENG Leo 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
55 ZENG Noah 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
56 MARGULIES William 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
57 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
58 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
59 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
60 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 96% 74% 32% 5% -
61 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
62 LEE Justin 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
63 NOBLE Colin 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
64 QIU Nathan 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
65 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
66 GANTA Vijay 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
67 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
68 YANG Ziyi 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
69 ROBERTS Sam 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
70 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
71 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 4%
72 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
73 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
74 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
75 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
76 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
77 STONE Esmond A. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
78 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% -
79 YANG Dylan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
80 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
81 BULL Anderson 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
82 TAO Jeffrey 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
83 WILSON Jude 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
84 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
85 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
86 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
86 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
88 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
89 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
90 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
91 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
92 VO Minh Q. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
93 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
94 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
95 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
96 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
96 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% -
96 REN James 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
99 TONG ZACHARY 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
100 PANDEY Neil 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
101 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
102 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
103 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
104 OH Triton 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
104 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
106 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
107 LIM William J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
107 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
109 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
109 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
111 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
111 LO Konnor 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
113 GAO Albert 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
113 BOSITA Carson 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
115 WANG Nicolas 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
116 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
117 KIM Matthew 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
118 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
119 LEE Aydan J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
120 CHOI Silas 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
121 XU Andrew 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
122 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
123 LIN Daniel 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
124 KIM Alexander M. 100% 93% 61% 20% 2% -
125 DEPEW Spencer 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
126 HONG Steven 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
127 SAHAY Kenji 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
128 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
129 JIANG Anthony 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 1%
130 BROU Inkosi 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
131 KUMAR Sachit 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% - -
132 LE Hayden 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
133 KILGALLEN William 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
134 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
134 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
136 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
137 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
138 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 89% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
138 PAN Alex 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
140 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
141 LUO George F. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
142 PI Alexander 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% -
143 SHOMAN Noah 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
143 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
145 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
146 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.