Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
2 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 SOHN Kevin J. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
5 WOOD Elden S. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
7 DODRILL Grant - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
8 YUN Jaesun - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
9 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
10 WANG Nicolas 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
11 WANG Robert - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
12 HUANG Ethan F. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
13 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
14 LO Konnor - 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
15 TONG ZACHARY - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
16 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
17 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
18 SO Hananiah - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
19 WU Roger (Mengke) - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
20 LIN Daniel - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
21 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
22 BAE Jason I. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
23 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
24 BERGER Oliver - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
25 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
26 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
27 MAKLIN Edward P. - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
28 HOLZ Daniel - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
29 DENNER Lysander H. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
30 ZHANG Derek 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
31 ERMAKOV Lev - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
32 KIM ELIJAH 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
33 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
34 WILSON Jude - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
35 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
36 BARBER William S. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
37 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
38 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
39 PANDEY Neil - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
40 PRIMUS Nazir 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
41 OH Triton 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
42 ZENG Noah - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
43 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
44 PATIL Aaryan A. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
45 XU William - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
46 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
47 TENG MATTHEW - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
48 RIGHTLER Samuel - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
49 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
50 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
51 BERRIO Carter E. 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
52 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
52 MARGULIES William 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
54 KWALWASSER Eric 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
55 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
56 KUSHKOV Daniel - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
57 GLOZMAN Justin - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
58 YANG Ziyi - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
59 SKINNER Graham B. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
60 SHOMAN Noah 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
61 BERMAN Luca 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
62 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
63 LIU Mingyang Ryan 1% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
64 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
65 KOGAN Benjamin - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
66 STONE Esmond A. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
67 KIM Alexander M. - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
68 PAN Alex - 3% 17% 38% 30% 10% 1%
69 RAMANAN Govind 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% < 1%
70 TRUDNOS Allen - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 3%
71 LUO George F. - 3% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
72 CHOI Silas - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
73 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 6%
74 HOLZ William A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
75 WANG Eric Y. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
76 XU Andrew - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
77 YUN Jake - 4% 19% 38% 32% 8%
78 KUMAR Sachit 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
79 SLASTIN Andrew - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
80 HOUTZ Jackson - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 8%
81 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
82 HUANG Connor - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
83 CHTERENTAL Alex - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
84 CHON Taylor A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
85 BROU Inkosi 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
86 QIU Nathan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
87 TAO Jeffrey - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
88 LIANG Connor - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
89 CHEN Evan P. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
90 NOBLE Colin - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
91 FENG Leo - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
92 YAO JINTAO 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
93 PI Alexander 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
94 KILGALLEN William 1% 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% -
95 CHEONG Heonjae - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
96 HONG Steven - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
97 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
98 REN James 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
98 YAN Kevin 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
100 KROON Lucas 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
101 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
101 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
103 GREENBAUM Ian L. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
104 LEE Justin - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
105 KALPATHY Rohit 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
106 DOWNEY Baran 3% 25% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
107 BOSITA Carson 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
108 SCHARDINE James 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
109 KASPER Aaron 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
110 AVAKIAN Alec - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
111 STURN Oliver 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
112 KIM Matthew - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
113 YAO JINCHENG - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
114 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
115 CRAIG Samuel 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
116 DENG Andrew - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
117 DENNER Maximilian P. - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
117 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
119 MICLAUS Justin - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
120 TANN Justin - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
121 BULL Anderson - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
122 REN Richard 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
123 WOODWARD Connor - 2% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
124 LE Hayden - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
125 CHUNG Connor 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
126 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
127 THORNHILL Kwasi 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
128 LI Yiwei 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
129 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
130 CADAMBI Roshan - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
131 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
132 TURCK Caspar J. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
133 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
134 WAXLER Seth B. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% 1%
135 LIM Joshua 6% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
136 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
137 HAN Daniel Y. - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
138 YOUNG Nash - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
139 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
140 HUANG Tom 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
141 ZUBATIY Samuel - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
142 DEPEW Spencer 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
143 GUFFEY Christopher 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
144 HAN Edward 2% 19% 36% 29% 12% 2% -
145 LUTHRA Arjun 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
146 GOLDIN Lucca 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% -
147 SCHERER Max 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
148 MENG Xiang 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
149 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
150 JOHNSON Langston C. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
151 GAO Albert 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
152 LIM William J. - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 5%
153 VO Minh Q. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
154 POSY Daniel 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
155 WANG William 57% 36% 6% - - - -
156 ZHU Charlie 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
157 CHEN Jonathan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
158 DALAL Rohan 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
159 NOURELDIN Gabriel 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
159 NG Jonathan 5% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
161 CHAN Aidan 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
161 LICHTERMAN Jakub 52% 40% 7% - - - -
163 PIWOWAR Alex 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
164 BRUTUS Caleb 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
165 ZHOU Aeres Z. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
165 LO Bradley 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
167 TUNG Ryan 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
168 LIN Philip T. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
168 GILSHTEYN Jacob 18% 50% 26% 6% 1% - -
170 KANG evan R. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
171 MAY Griffin M. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
172 FERGUSON Constantine 68% 28% 4% - - -
173 COLE Alexander 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
174 YANG Dylan 1% 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
175 RAMANAN Jaisimh 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
176 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 1%
177 TIAGI Daniel 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
178 LUCAS Hayden 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
179 LO Maxim L. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
180 ZHOU Miles 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
180 SAHAY Kenji 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
182 WALKE Devin 29% 47% 21% 4% - - -
183 WONG James T. 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
184 SHANKAR Karthik 20% 47% 26% 6% 1% - -
184 AKS Ari 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
186 KO Zuriel 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
187 BHATIA Ekam 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
188 HOTHA Nikhil 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
189 TIAGI George 30% 46% 20% 3% - - -
190 FARIDI Imran 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
191 NGUYEN Anthony 4% 30% 41% 21% 4% - -
192 KUSANAGI Soshi 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
193 ROE Finnegan 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
194 PERRON Robert 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
195 ZHOU James Y. 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
196 HU Christopher 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
197 KESSENS Keith J. 24% 54% 20% 3% - - -
198 HUANG Alexander C. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
199 PARK Caleb 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
200 FANG Eason 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
201 LIGH Checed 66% 29% 5% - - - -
201 REHM Liam 56% 37% 7% - - - -
203 HENDERSON Jack 70% 27% 3% - - - -
203 KEIPER Benjamin 65% 30% 5% - - - -
203 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 44% 43% 11% 1% - - -
203 HILL Quillan 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
207 HUSTON Theodore 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
207 WEBB Rohan 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
209 HORNE Jamison 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
210 BINSHTOK Nathan S. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.