Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
5 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
7 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
8 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
9 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
10 WANG Nicolas 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
11 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
12 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
13 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
14 LO Konnor 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
15 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
16 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
17 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
18 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
19 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
20 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
21 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
22 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
23 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
24 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
25 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
26 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
27 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
28 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
29 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
30 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
31 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
32 KIM ELIJAH 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
33 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
34 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
35 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
36 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
37 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
38 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
39 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
40 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
41 OH Triton 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
42 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
43 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
44 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
45 XU William 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
46 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
47 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
48 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
49 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
50 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
51 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
52 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
52 MARGULIES William 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
54 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
55 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
56 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
57 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
58 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
59 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
60 SHOMAN Noah 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
61 BERMAN Luca 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
62 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
63 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
64 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
65 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
66 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
67 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
68 PAN Alex 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
69 RAMANAN Govind 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% < 1%
70 TRUDNOS Allen 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
71 LUO George F. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
72 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
73 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
74 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
75 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
76 XU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
77 YUN Jake 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
78 KUMAR Sachit 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1%
79 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
80 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
81 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
82 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
83 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
84 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
85 BROU Inkosi 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
86 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
87 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
88 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
89 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
90 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
91 FENG Leo 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
92 YAO JINTAO 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 2% -
93 PI Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
94 KILGALLEN William 100% 99% 90% 52% 16% 2% -
95 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
96 HONG Steven 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
97 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
98 REN James 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
98 YAN Kevin 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
100 KROON Lucas 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
101 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
101 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
103 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
104 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
105 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
106 DOWNEY Baran 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
107 BOSITA Carson 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
108 SCHARDINE James 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
109 KASPER Aaron 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
110 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
111 STURN Oliver 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
112 KIM Matthew 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% -
113 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
114 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
115 CRAIG Samuel 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
116 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
117 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
117 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
119 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
120 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
121 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
122 REN Richard 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
123 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
124 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
125 CHUNG Connor 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
126 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
127 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
128 LI Yiwei 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
129 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
130 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
131 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
132 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
133 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
134 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% 1%
135 LIM Joshua 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
136 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
137 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
138 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
139 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
140 HUANG Tom 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
141 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
142 DEPEW Spencer 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
143 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
144 HAN Edward 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 3% -
145 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
146 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
147 SCHERER Max 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
148 MENG Xiang 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
149 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
150 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
151 GAO Albert 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
152 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
153 VO Minh Q. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
154 POSY Daniel 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
155 WANG William 100% 43% 7% - - - -
156 ZHU Charlie 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
157 CHEN Jonathan 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
158 DALAL Rohan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
159 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
159 NG Jonathan 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
161 CHAN Aidan 100% 93% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
161 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 48% 8% - - - -
163 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
164 BRUTUS Caleb 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
165 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
165 LO Bradley 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
167 TUNG Ryan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
168 LIN Philip T. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
168 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 82% 33% 6% 1% - -
170 KANG evan R. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
171 MAY Griffin M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
172 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 32% 5% - - -
173 COLE Alexander 100% 98% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
174 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
175 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
176 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
177 TIAGI Daniel 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
178 LUCAS Hayden 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
179 LO Maxim L. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
180 ZHOU Miles 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
180 SAHAY Kenji 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
182 WALKE Devin 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
183 WONG James T. 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
184 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
184 AKS Ari 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
186 KO Zuriel 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
187 BHATIA Ekam 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
188 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
189 TIAGI George 100% 70% 23% 4% - - -
190 FARIDI Imran 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
191 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 96% 67% 25% 5% - -
192 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
193 ROE Finnegan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
194 PERRON Robert 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
195 ZHOU James Y. 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
196 HU Christopher 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
197 KESSENS Keith J. 100% 76% 23% 3% - - -
198 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
199 PARK Caleb 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
200 FANG Eason 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
201 LIGH Checed 100% 34% 5% - - - -
201 REHM Liam 100% 44% 7% - - - -
203 HENDERSON Jack 100% 30% 4% - - - -
203 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 35% 5% - - - -
203 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
203 HILL Quillan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
207 HUSTON Theodore 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
207 WEBB Rohan 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
209 HORNE Jamison 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
210 BINSHTOK Nathan S. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.