Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Veteran Women's Saber

Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 1:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ALTMAN Leigh	-	1%	10%	28%	36%	21%	4%
2	DEMING Clare L.	-	-	-	4%	19%	43%	34%
3	WILLEMSE Jamie	2%	15%	37%	33%	12%	1%
3	CHIARELLI Elisabet	-	-	3%	18%	45%	34%
5	DENNER Jasmina	-	-	-	6%	34%	60%
6	BERMAN Frauke	-	-	-	1%	11%	41%	47%
7	WILSON Dawn J.	-	-	1%	9%	33%	43%	14%
8	DEBERTIN Beth	1%	12%	38%	37%	12%	1%
9	OBLONSKY Natalia	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%
10	GLUCK Myriam	-	-	4%	23%	44%	25%	4%
11	VANCE Beth S.	-	1%	9%	34%	45%	11%
12	ZHANG Lynn Y.	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	5%
13	SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara	-	-	-	1%	10%	39%	50%
14	ENOCHS Liz	-	-	5%	24%	47%	24%
15	SIERRA Kate	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	22%
16	DUDNICK Shannon	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	4%	-
17	JOHNSON Pamela	2%	14%	32%	33%	15%	2%	-
18	KIM Nam Heui	-	1%	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
19	LAPP Laurie E.	-	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	8%
20	YANG Jenny J.	-	-	2%	10%	32%	43%	14%
21	FOLEY Eileen	-	-	1%	8%	25%	41%	25%
22	OISHI Yoko	-	3%	30%	44%	20%	3%	-
23	MAUL Judy L.	-	10%	30%	35%	19%	5%	-
24	RANDALL Cathleen Coyle	-	1%	9%	31%	38%	19%	3%
25	WALTER Joanne	1%	10%	27%	35%	21%	5%	-
26	FREYRE Rebecca R.	-	9%	34%	40%	16%	2%
27	GORDON Sharon	1%	9%	33%	42%	15%	1%
28	MARENTES Blanca E.	1%	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
29	FEITLER Sarah	22%	46%	26%	5%	-	-
30	PREIMESBERGER Elaine	14%	36%	33%	14%	2%	-	-
31	DAHL Naomi V.	-	17%	37%	31%	12%	2%	-
32	MUNGOVAN Elizabeth	8%	46%	36%	10%	1%	-
33	SCHULZE Seunghee	-	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
34	DEGEN Anita L.	2%	18%	42%	29%	8%	1%	-
35	SHAFER Genine	-	4%	33%	43%	17%	3%	-
36	WEBB Maud	37%	43%	17%	3%	-	-
37	PEIN Annette	2%	15%	41%	33%	9%	1%
38	MASLEN Cheryl L.	41%	45%	13%	1%	-	-
39	HIRSCH Lauren	69%	27%	4%	-	-	-
40	IIZUKA Sawako	18%	48%	28%	6%	1%	-	-
41	ECKSTEIN Harriet A.	35%	52%	12%	1%	-	-	-
42	WU Yik Chun	16%	42%	31%	10%	1%	-
43	MARSH Lisa	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
44	MORO Diana	92%	8%	-	-	-	-	-
44	CONNOLLY Grace	51%	46%	4%	-	-	-	-
46	STCLAIREKING Tiffany	49%	40%	10%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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