America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KALLIO Jeffrey E. | D V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 2 | THORNTON Ronald J. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 3 | RUNYAN Joshua | D V V V V D | V V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 3 | MATT Chris | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 5 | MAKOGON Sergey | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 6 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 7 | KRASNICH Mike | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 8 | ZIRKLE James | D V V D D | V V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 9 | BUSH Joshua C. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 10 | LEAR Donald W. | V D D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 11 | ZOLLER Matthew | V V V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 12 | CHU Kevin | V D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 13 | PENTON Robert | V V D D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 14 | SEIDEL Jonathan J. | V D V D D V | V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 15 | DUDNICK Christian | V V V D D D | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 16 | ANFORA Andrew T. | D V D D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 17 | WAXLER Aaron M. | D V V V V V | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 18 | PLONKA Derek | V V D V V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 19 | ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. | D V V V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 20 | DASHNAW Stephen | V V V V D | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 21 | DIRSMITH Benjamin J. | D V V V V D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 22 | ZIPPER Michael E. | D V V D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 23 | DAWSON Todd | V D V D V | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 24 | BOYLAN John R. | D V V V D | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 25 | MARGIL David | D V D D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 26 | WILDMAN Steve | V D V D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 27 | CRETEN joachim | V D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 28 | SOSKINS Matt | D D D V V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 29 | HICHA Paul R. | V D V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | DAHL Chris | D D D D V | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 31 | MENNE Chris D. | D D D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 32 | MALNATI Donald H. | D D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| 33 | HECK Steven D. | D V V D D V | D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 34 | GRAFF Jon | D V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 35 | MARTINEZ Mario D. | V D D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 36 | ELDER John | D V D D V D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 37 | DI GENNARO John | V V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 38 | MYERS Brent M. | D D D V D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 39 | STONE Brad | D D D V D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 40 | HERNDON Jameson D. | D D D D V D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 40 | CAROTHERS Michael B. | D D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 42 | STATEN Joseph | D D D D D V | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 43 | SZATHMARY Michael J. | V D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 44 | DANIELL Steven J. | D D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 45 | PEREIRA Gabriel | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 46 | GORMLEY Peter J. | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.