Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Monday, April 24, 2023 at 11:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DRAGONETTI Walter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
2 RANES Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
5 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
6 RICHARDS Dick 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
7 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
8 SKOPIK Jr August 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
9 AMELI Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
10 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
11 VIEDERMAN Matthew (Matt) 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
12 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
13 KLEIN Johannes 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
14 EVANS Allen L. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
15 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
16 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
17 JENSEN David 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
18 WATRALL Rick 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
19 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
20 SZOKOLAY Robert E. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
21 MAZZOLI Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
23 MARIANI Lou 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
24 SWANSON Dave 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
24 KANE Tim 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
26 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
27 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
28 SIMMONS Matthew C. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
29 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
30 BENNETT Craig 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
31 POPOVICI Alexander M. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
32 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
33 MASE James B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
34 HVIDING Ketil 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
35 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
36 PIERRO Roger 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
37 SMITH Herman E. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
38 SWANN William A. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
39 NEALE James H. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
40 TKACH Robert W. 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
41 PITZEL John E. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.