Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Vet-70 Men's Épée

Monday, April 24, 2023 at 12:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HENZLER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
2 NEWSOME James L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
3 SCHNEIDER Charles (Charlie) J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
3 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
5 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 BOTHELIO Jere P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
7 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
8 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
9 GOOSSENS Bruno 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 55%
10 KING Charles M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 21%
11 FLINT James E. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
12 RESS Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
13 CARTER Tony 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
14 JEFFERIES Jonathan J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 21% 2%
15 WINGET William (Bill) D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
16 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
17 BALLARD Mark V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
18 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 3%
19 SPAHN Jeff 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
20 ANDERSON Donald 100% 92% 59% 19% 2% - -
21 ALPERSTEIN Donald W. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
22 LEONARDINI Barry M. 100% 98% 59% 19% 3% - -
23 REA John P. 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% 1% -
24 WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 4%
25 DUNLOP Richard (Dick) M. 100% 90% 47% 10% 1% - -
26 SCHROEDER William 100% 80% 29% 5% - -
27 PARY Theodore 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
28 MEHALL Michael 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
29 DEOLIVARES JOSE M. 100% 94% 61% 18% 2% - -
30 SHOAF Franz 100% 45% 8% - - - -
31 GALLIVAN James 100% 10% - - - - -
32 HENRY Mark R. 100% 95% 74% 41% 13% 2% -
33 GRAVIS Martin V. 100% 44% 6% - - -
34 FRANK William N. 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.